After clearly demonstrating on computer random-number-generated (RNG) roulette spins that a method yielded no better than expected results, the author of the method protested that the test results were not applicable because the spins were computer generated from algorithms, and thus, less “geometric” than spins from live, physical roulette wheels. However, what is a physical […]
Tag: simulation
Last week, a couple friends asked me to sit in on a call to a systems seller who goes by the name David Gunas. They wanted to learn more about his system, which he claims mathematically beats baccarat. Gunas claims after playing several thousand live shoes with his system (he says he plays daily), his […]
I was chatting with my friend Garrett last week about using progressions in a negative expectancy game such as baccarat, and I thought our discussion would make an interesting post. In this post, I will explain why in the long run, any progression, no matter how mild or aggressive, must fail when used to bet […]
Results from Baccarat Simulations Series 37 are presented below. In this series, I examined Setup SF. Data set tested: 4,165 live baccarat shoes (313,559 total decisions), entire data-set continuously (open universe): Bet Selection Player’s Advantage Net Score Total Bet % Won % Lost Banker -1.11% -2,122.95 192,129 50.72% 49.28% Player -1.45% -2,746.00 189,102 49.27% 50.73% […]
Results from Baccarat Simulations Series 36 are presented below. In this series, I examined Setup CS. P.A. Net Gross High Low Total Bets Flat Bet: Z600 -1.99% -636.35 -229 34.60 -639.25 32,007 Z1000 -1.49% -868.00 -134 74.00 -876.35 58,066 Live 2361 -1.14% -1,487.80 174 100.40 -1,545.25 130,152 Live All -1.36% -2,992.15 -189 34.60 -3,049.60 220,225 […]
In this series, I examined the High-Hand Card Counting Method. High-Hand Card Count P.A. Net Total Bet High Low No MM -1.43% -12,135.70 851,248 32.90 -12,135.70 MM -1.40% -3,208.30 228,593 36.45 -3,208.50 Number of Shoes % Total Shoes Shoes Won +1u 66,733 66.73% Shoes Lost -3u 13,554 13.55% Shoes Lost Neg >40 19,708 19.71% Shoes […]
In this analysis, I remove specific card values from 100,000 8-deck shoes to examine how depletion of those values affects long term expectancies of Banker (B), Player (P), and Tie (T) decisions. Theoretically expected values (theo) from combinatorial analysis are also provided for reference. Card Values Removed B B (theo) P P (theo) T T […]
Results from Baccarat Simulations Series 34 are presented below. In this series, I examined Target Betting (Bare Bones’ Core Rules) by Seth Theobeau (Ian Harmer). Flat Betting (1u): P.A. Net Total Bets Z600 P -1.57% -643.00 41,007 Z600 B -0.97% -398.25 41,007 Z1000 P -1.62% -1,182.00 73,066 Z1000 B -0.92% -674.20 73,066 L2361 P -1.52% […]
About the only thing sincerely honest about Izak Matatya’s latest baccarat approach is its name:  “I B.S.” Yes, Izak, you certainly do. In his 10th “I B.S.,” Izak claims to be able to win random with random by using cycles of alternating repeat and opposite 3, 4, and 5 grids.  He also applies a 2- and […]
Results from Baccarat Simulations Series 33 are presented below. In this series, I examined Izak Matatya’s Infallible Baccarat System 10 (IBS 10). Read “I B.S.” for a discussion of these results. P.A. Net Gross High Low Total Bets Flat Bet: Z600 0.10% 39.25 545 183.55 -229.90 39,207 Z1000 -0.80% -559.00 336 4.75 -590.30 70,066 Live […]
ImSpirit 